So, instead we have a poll from Angus-Reid on the provincial political situation in Manitoba. It looks like there could be a change of government when the next election rolls around in October 2011.
Jon Gerrard's Liberals are stuck at 12%, while the Greens are up one to 4%.
As is the case at the federal level with the Conservative Party, the Progressive Conservatives in Manitoba have a big lead among men (53% to 34%), but the race is much closer among women (45% to 35%).
The race is close in the provincial capital, with the Progressive Conservatives edging out the New Democrats 42% to 41%. The Liberals are well behind at 13%.
But in rural Manitoba, the Progressive Conservatives dominate. They lead with 59%, while the NDP lags behind with 26%.
While the Liberals have gained no ground since 2007, there has been a lot of movement at the top between the PCs and the NDP. The NDP has lost about 14 points, which is a serious personal indictment of Greg Selinger. Gary Doer was well liked in the province, but the NDP has tanked since he went off to become ambassador to the United States. The Progressive Conservatives are really flying high, especially when you consider that the party has never had this much support since the 1977 election.
With only a year to go, it appears that the New Democrats will not be re-elected to a fourth consecutive term. But, as always, things can change in a heartbeat in politics.
I believe the PCs are actually ahead among both men and women...for men, 53 to 34, for women, 45 to 35.
ReplyDeleteYou are correct, I misread my writing. I've fixed it.
ReplyDeleteIt really is a shame that Jon Gerrard's Liberals aren't given much of a chance by Manitobans. Gerrard himself is a committed and determined party leader, and would be make a better premier from what I can see, of either Selinger or McFayden.
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