Wednesday, November 9, 2016

How Trump defied pundits and pollsters to win the White House

Around the United States and throughout the world, people are waking up this morning and asking, 'What just happened?'

Donald Trump, the Republican nominee for the American presidency, was elected to lead the free world, against the expectations of most polls, pundits and political observers. He did it by getting his core supporters — white Americans — out to vote for him in bigger numbers than expected, delaying for at least one more electoral cycle the demographic challenges facing the Republican Party.

As of writing, it wasn't clear whether Trump would emerge with the highest share of the popular vote (ed: he won't). But winning the support of most Americans was a secondary concern. He needed to win the support of the most Americans in the right states, and he did just that.

You can read the rest of this article here.


  1. From the numbers I've seen Trump didnt get more people to vote republican than the previous 3 was more people not coming out to vote Clinton than had come out to vote Obama that made the real difference.

    1. That is an interesting point Carl.

      I'm curretnly reading Michael Ignatieff's memooir on his political Life: "Fire and Ashes": I found a very aprospos to your point. In a segway on political standing he wrote this is 2012:

      "Obama's organization delivered the vote in 2008 and 2012, but his machine, purpose-built for his election, and the next candidates for president in 2016 will have to build from scratch"(Ignatieff 2013, p.128-129).

      I think in large part turnout explains the result of Tuesday night.


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