Alberta provincial polling averages

The following are ThreeHundredEight.com's weighted polling averages for Alberta, which must hold its next provincial election by May 31, 2019. These weighted averages were last updated on July 22, 2016. (Approval ratings data updated September 22, 2016.)
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Polls included in the aggregation are weighted by date, sample size, and the track record of the polling firm. Full methodological details can be found here.
The chart below is an unweighted average of all polls conducted in each month going back to January 2010.

The chart below shows the average approval ratings over the most recent three polls for each party leader in the legislature.




Seat projections will be added to this page in the future.

Alberta Polls

All polls published since the beginning of 2016 are listed below. Parties are ordered by finishing position in the 2015 election.

Insights West (July 9-12)
26% NDP, 35% WR, 22% PC, 11% LIB, 1% ALB
Insights West (May 5-9)
27% NDP, 35% WR, 22% PC, 8% LIB, 5% ALB
ThinkHQ (Mar. 11-16)
27% NDP, 34% WR, 25% PC, 8% LIB, 4% ALB
Mainstreet (Feb. 3)
27% NDP, 33% WR, 31% PC, 5% LIB, 4% ALB

PAST PROJECTIONS

2015 Alberta provincial election