Alberta provincial polling averages

The following are ThreeHundredEight.com's weighted polling averages for Alberta, which must hold its next provincial election by May 31, 2019. These weighted averages were last updated on December 2, 2016.
Polls included in the aggregation are weighted by date, sample size, and the track record of the polling firm. Full methodological details can be found here.
The chart below is an unweighted average of all polls conducted in each month going back to January 2010.

The chart below shows the average approval ratings over the most recent three polls for each party leader in the legislature.


Seat projections will be added to this page in the future.

Alberta Polls

All polls published since the beginning of 2016 are listed below. Parties are ordered by finishing position in the 2015 election.

ThinkHQ (Nov. 15-20, 2016)
31% NDP, 35% WR, 24% PC, 4% LIB, 3% AP
Innovative Research (Oct. 25-Nov. 1, 2016)
14% NDP, 25% WR, 39% PC, 14% LIB, 2% AP
ThinkHQ (October 2016)
28% NDP, 34% WR, 24% PC, 6% LIB, 5% AP
Lethbridge College (Oct. 1-8, 2016)
20% NDP, 26% WR, 38% PC, 9% LIB, 4% AP
ThinkHQ (July 2016)
28% NDP, 34% WR, 22% PC, 8% LIB, 5% AP
Insights West (July 9-12, 2016)
26% NDP, 35% WR, 22% PC, 11% LIB, 1% AP
ThinkHQ (May 2016)
31% NDP, 37% WR, 19% PC, 7% LIB, 5% AP
Insights West (May 5-9, 2016)
27% NDP, 35% WR, 22% PC, 8% LIB, 5% AP
ThinkHQ (Mar. 11-16, 2016)
27% NDP, 34% WR, 25% PC, 8% LIB, 4% AP
Mainstreet (Feb. 3, 2016)
27% NDP, 33% WR, 31% PC, 5% LIB, 4% AP
ThinkHQ (January 2016)
28% NDP, 35% WR, 23% PC, 6% LIB, 6% AP

PAST PROJECTIONS

2015 Alberta provincial election