Manitoba provincial polling averages

The following are ThreeHundredEight.com's weighted polling averages for Manitoba, which is tentatively scheduled to hold a provincial election in 2020. These weighted averages were last updated on January 1, 2017.
Polls included in the aggregation are weighted by date, sample size, and the track record of the polling firm. Full methodological details can be found here.
The chart below is an unweighted average of all polls conducted in each month going back to January 2010.

Seat projections will be added to this page in the future.


Manitoba Polls

All polls published since the 2016 provincial election are listed below. Parties are ordered by finishing position in that election.

Probe/Winnipeg Free Press (Nov. 29-Dec. 11, 2017)
49% PC, 24% NDP, 19% LIB, 8% GRE
Probe (Sept. 13-26, 2016)
48% PC, 20% NDP, 26% LIB, 5% GRE
Mainstreet (Sept. 15-16, 2016)
55% PC, 30% NDP, 9% LIB, 6% GRE
Probe (June 7-16, 2016)
46% PC, 27% NDP, 18% LIB, 8% GRE
Mainstreet (June 9, 2016)
58% PC, 28% NDP, 8% LIB, 6% GRE

PAST PROJECTIONS

2016 Manitoba provincial election