Ontario provincial polling averages

The following are ThreeHundredEight.com's weighted polling averages for Ontario, which is tentatively scheduled to hold a provincial election on June 14, 2018. These weighted averages were last updated on June 24, 2016.
Polls included in the aggregation are weighted by date, sample size, and the track record of the polling firm. Full methodological details can be found here.


The chart below is an unweighted average of all polls conducted in each month going back to January 2010.

Seat projections will be added to this page in the future.


Ontario Polls

All polls published since the beginning of 2016 are listed below. Parties are ordered by finishing position in the 2014 election.

Forum Research (June 21, 2016)
30% OLP, 40% PC, 21% NDP, 8% GPO
Forum Research (May 31, 2016)
30% OLP, 40% PC, 21% NDP, 7% GPO
Forum Research (Apr. 25, 2016)
34% OLP, 39% PC, 21% NDP, 5% GPO
Forum Research (Mar. 23, 2016)
30% OLP, 40% PC, 24% NDP, 5% GPO
Forum Research (Feb. 26, 2016)
27% OLP, 44% PC, 22% NDP, 6% GPO
Mainstreet Research (Feb. 16, 2016)
33% OLP, 36% PC, 26% NDP, 5% GPO

PAST PROJECTIONS

2014 Ontario provincial election