The following is ThreeHundredEight.com's forecast for the mayoral election in Toronto, scheduled for October 27, 2014. These numbers were last updated on September 15, 2014, and reflect the best estimates as of September 12, 2014, the last day of polls included in the model.
The averages are calculated using the standard methodology of the site, explained in detail here and here. In short, the averages are weighted according to the age of the poll, the size of the sample, and the historical accuracy of the polling firm.
A list of polling for the mayoral election can be found here.