Friday, February 10, 2017

Census shows Conservatives still hold sway in Canada's fastest growing regions

With the West leading the country in population growth and Atlantic Canada stagnating, the Conservatives continue to have the most to gain from the demographic trends revealed in the latest census release from Statistics Canada.

And while the numbers are a mixed bag for the governing Liberals, the changing population figures in Canada's 338 ridings point to potential difficulties for the NDP.

The electoral map won't be redrawn until after the next census in 2021, so at least one more election will be decided using the current boundaries. But it's better for a party's future to be on the right side of the demographic trends.

You can read the rest of this article here.


  1. The problem for Conservatives is that they have destroyed themselves with an entire generation of new immigrants. They used to get a large percentage of them, simply because of their tradition values, but Leitch and company have totally destroyed that now. That will negate any demographic shift for a long time.

    And that influence of people moving and question the Conservative Party of Canada's values will actually hurt the party in the long run. Though I love this site, sometimes the mathematical stat process of the practical analysis of what is happening is not fully considered.

    Very much like the analysis on the ranked ballot.

    1. Some truth to what you wright but, voters also have short memories. The Tories may have problems with the "New Canadian vote" in 2019 but, even that is speculative. If demographics favour the Conservatives memories will not be enough to keep them from winning Government.

    2. There are lots of racist immigrants out there that think too many of other immigrants are being let in. Leitch just needs to be a bit more specific in her demonizing, like Trump with Mexicans and Muslims. I'm guessing tolerance of other cultures isn't going to be one of her Canadian Values on the test.

  2. There is no way the Liberals will ever support a fair seat distribution. Liberals continue to form governments because areas of Canada that receive most of the equalization payments also receive more votes per capital than the areas which pay the bills.

  3. Éric,

    I agree with this argument but I would also say that in most of our recent previous elections, Conservatives voted in high percentages while then opposition parties tended to not vote in the same percentages.

    The last election was more about positive change with Justin than a rebuke of Harper's move to the right once he had a majority. Take Justin out of the equation and the CPC might have been able to hang on with another minority.


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