Tuesday, November 17, 2015

District-level polling in Newfoundland and Labrador, and some news

The province-wide race may no longer be very interesting, but that doesn't mean there aren't a lot of fascinating races at the district level in Newfoundland and Labrador. A new poll by Abacus Data for VOCM in the district of St. John's West, for example, shows that former MP Siobhan Coady is in good form, while NDP leader Earle McCurdy is in danger of losing.

There will also be a number of polls out from Abacus and VOCM in the coming week for Newfoundland and Labrador, so keep an eye out for those.

You can read my analysis of this latest poll on the CBC's website here.

And that leads me to the next bit of news. Though the federal election is now over, my work for the CBC is continuing. In addition to the kinds of analyses I have written for the CBC (and, in the past, other media outlets) I will also be writing some articles for the CBC that would have normally found a home here on ThreeHundredEight.com. This article about a district poll in Newfoundland and Labrador is a good example.

Work here on ThreeHundredEight.com will continue, but the pace will be reduced. It will still be a place to host things like the Newfoundland and Labrador projection and other tracking data that would not have a place with the CBC. But since most of my original analyses will be on the CBC's website, I have added a list of links to my latest articles at the top of the right-hand column. This list will be constantly updated.

You can also bookmark my author page at the CBC to keep abreast of all my articles.

I'm also happy to announce that the Pollcast podcast will continue! We'll have the latest episode up hopefully this week, with regular weekly episodes from then on. The focus will still be on polls and polling, but it will cover some other topics. Think of it as the Canadian political geek's podcast. It should be fun!


  1. I'm not thrilled with the continued move to the CBC, but it probably makes good business sense for you, so I can't fault the decision.

    1. In an ideal world, what would you prefer?

    2. In a perfect world, a venue like this would offer you the revenue you need to keep doing it without having to deal with the restrictions of the CBC website.

      In a perfect world, you also wouldn't need to moderate the comment threads, but we both know that's not going to happen.

      I find a blog like this one easier to navigate, and the comment threads far more welcoming. I recognise a big part of that is the more limited audience, which means that I'm just wishcasting here.

    3. Probably that you could be just as financially secure as the increased exposure with CBC is likely making you while remaining completely independent and maintaining your statistical street cred.

    4. Well, could you at least cross-post all your articles there here (abridged, or just the link at least)?

    5. I will be doing that - look at the list of links at the top of the right-hand column.

    6. Ira - maybe one day this site will get there. But I think the CBC is a great platform to do this work. Hopefully my work at the CBC and here can evolve to the point where they are mutually supportive.

    7. In your place, I'm confident I'd make the same choice you did. This is probably a really good call for you.

  2. Out of all the news outlets, I'm supportive that you and the CBC found a mutual partnership.


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