Sunday, January 1, 2017

5 federal politicians to watch in 2017


Both the Conservatives and New Democrats will choose new leaders in 2017, but the Liberals will also have some important decisions to make, including how to handle the prime minister's ongoing fundraising controversy and whether to move forward with electoral reform.

Here are five federal politicians to watch this year.

You can read the rest of this article here.

10 comments:

  1. National Post is saying Bernier. Be interesting to see who realising if it isn't Bernier the winner will face the wrath of Conrad Black and we all know !!!

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  2. The tough one for me is Who for the NDP ??
    Cullen yeah OK but can he carry the country . Or can he rebuild some of the NDP at all ??

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  3. My pick for M.P.s to watch: Peter Julian.

    Apparently he has registered to be the NDP leadership candidate, is accepting donations but, has not as yet committed. Folks-He's in! Unless he decides he's Not!

    If he's out then all eyes will be on Tom Mulcair. Can he, could he, should he, will he, run to replace himself as leader? Will he be asked to stay on if no serious candidate(s) emerge?

    For the Liberals; Jim Carr: The Minister of Natural Resources is tasked with ushering in pipelines and natural resources to tidewater. Minister Carr will also be on the front lines of this Government's interaction with Indigenous people-a priority of the prime minister-Mr. Carr's performance will be critical for both these major files. In many respects Mr. Carr's performance may set the "tone" for this Government moving forward toward the second half of their mandate.

    For the Tories; Andrew Scheer: If the former Speaker can entrench himself in the "first tier" of the leadership race he is likely to emerge as the "consensus candidate". He is well liked, bilingual and qualified. His one negative seems to be he is too nice and mild-mannered leaving some to question whether he has the bravado and killer instinct to be an effective critic as Leader of Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition.

    Provincially; Kathleen Wynne: With approval numbers in the low double digits and an election 18 months away pressure must be mounting for Ms. Wynne to step down in the hope of preserving her long-in-the-tooth Government. If she resigns look for Eric Hoskins to become leader and try and pick up the pieces.

    Christy Clark; Premier Mum is back and running for re-election! This time the Liberals are only down in the polls by 2.2 points instead of the 20 point deficit they faced in 2013. She should be re-elected but, if 2016 taught us anything: campaigns matter.

    Dr. Andrew Weaver: In many ways how well or poorly the Green Party and Dr. Weaver perform will determine who becomes Government in B.C. Strong debate performance(s) by Dr. Weaver may hand the election to the Liberals conversely gaffes may drive Greenies to a Party they think can win-The NDP. He is the B.C. politician to watch.

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  4. I like several candidates running for the CPC leadership race. Beriner is a great libertarian and the CBC is long overdue to be privatized. Steven Blaney is pro gun and anti Indian-Act. Rick Peterson's radical idea of a 0% corporate income tax rate is almost crazy enough to vote for.

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  5. What's the thinking on Rachel Notley?? If the Tories do manage to put it together in a unified party I think she's toast. If they don't she may just get re-elected !!

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    Replies
    1. I think that is the general consensus Peter.

      Even with a united Conservative party Notley may still pull it off. Canadians rarely turf governments after one term and Albertans never have!

      If Kenny does become leader I think he will find it hard to achieve that type of overwhelming multi-generational support the PC party had prior to 2015 and may still possess. I can't see 40% of Albertans voting for Kenny-he's not that likable.

      Secondly, having been to Alberta lately-it's not that great. Every Albertan I have ever met in the higher echelons of government, business and the civil service all have vacation homes they hope to retire to in British Columbia! In short Alberta is a place with lots of problems. Yes, Alberta has low taxes but, try finding a competent family GP who is fluent in English-it's hard. The climate is terrible and nowadays jobs are scarce, the heritage fund is tapped out and the rainy day fund was spent long ago on consecutive PC re-election bids. The Progressive Conservative's four decades in office left the province with a litany of deficits and poor public policy decisions including the highest per capita spending and some of the lowest outcomes. I'm not so sure Albertans are ready to head back to the good old days with the same band of cowboys even under a different name.

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    2. TGOPME,
      Peter,

      I think Stephen Harper has completely wasted his time in securing a PC membership card...no one in their right mind is going to give Kenney a break as long as Wildrose is comfortably ahead. Jean is the next premier -- following the inevitable PC final collapse. That's how the right gets back in, not because of a pie-in-the-sky "merger".

      Wildrose remembers very well the Danielle Smith types -- who are there no more.

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    3. Ronald,

      I think I agree with your conclusions but, not necessarily how you got there. Brian Jean is also not very likable. If the PCs have the right leader they will be competitive, Jason Kenney is not that leader. To survive the PCs must stake out the centre-right, if they are simply a copy of Wildrose people will vote for the real thing. Jason Kenney has roots in the Alliance party but has a progressive tinge through his good work as Citizenship Minister where he built relationships with immigrant communities for the CPC. Ideologically however, he may be a tough fit for the PCs.

      Politics in Alberta are changing. Unless Wildrose can break into the cities where two thirds of Albertans live they will have a hard time forming Government. Arguably the PCs are better placed to do so with the right leader (Ric McIver perhaps).

      Even if Kenney wins the leadership a merger is far from a done deal and almost certainly will not happen before the next election. Jean has no incentive to give up his party or his leadership and Kenney has little sway to effect a merger. If the polls remain relatively close as they have of late with the PCs either second or third with roughly a quarter of the vote Kenney may find he has a real shot at becoming premier and little reason to want a merger either-and instead campaign to form Government.

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  6. I suspect that unless the Wildrose and the PC merge there is a very good chance Notley will win again.

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  7. A fascinating piece from the UK Guardian



    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jan/04/the-canada-experiment-is-this-the-worlds-first-postnational-country?utm_source=pocket&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=pockethits

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