Saturday, February 7, 2009

New Ipsos-Reid Poll

Ipsos-Reid has released a new poll, taken up to February 5 and involving 1,000 interviews. Here are the Canada-wide results:

Conservatives - 37%
Liberals - 31%
New Democrats - 14%
Bloc Quebecois - 10%
Greens - 7%

And now the two regional battleground results:


Liberals - 39%
Conservatives - 37%
New Democrats - 14%
Greens - 10%


Bloc Quebecois - 42%
Liberals - 24%
Conservatives - 18%
New Democrats - 11%
Greens - 5%

The projection has changed as well, with the Conservatives dropping two seats to 138, to the benefit of the Liberals and the NDP. The biggest popular vote drop goes to the Greens, from 6.6% to 6.0%. The Liberals had a 0.1% gain. In Ontario, the Conservatives dropped 0.4% and the Liberals gained 0.2%. When the projection puts the Liberals over the Conservatives in Ontario, I think an election will be imminent. In Quebec, the Bloc was bumped up by 0.4%.

I have also updated the polling trend charts.

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