Saturday, January 17, 2009

Two New Polls

This time from Angus-Reid and Strategic Counsel. I'm not ready to make projections yet, but still wanted to pass along the information. First, Angus-Reid:

Conservatives - 39%
Liberals - 30%
NDP - 17%
Bloc Québécois - 9%
Greens - 5%

And now Strategic Counsel:

Conservatives - 36%
Liberals - 29%
NDP - 18%
Bloc Québécois - 8%
Greens - 8%

This more or less confirms my hunch that the Nanos poll was an outlier. The results for Ontario and Quebec breakdown like this, with AR first and SC second:


Conservatives - 42%/41%
Liberals - 40%/37%
NDP - 12%/16%
Greens - 5%/7%


Bloc Québécois - 37%/36%
Liberals - 25%/29%
Conservatives - 19%/17%
NDP - 12%/11%
Greens - 5%/8%

If it is as close as it looks in Ontario and if the Liberals are doing so much better than the Conservatives in Quebec, an election result could be much closer than the national numbers show.

No comments:

Post a Comment

COMMENT MODERATION POLICY - Please be respectful when commenting. If choosing to remain anonymous, please sign your comment with some sort of pseudonym to avoid confusion. Please do not use any derogatory terms for fellow commenters, parties, or politicians. Inflammatory and overly partisan comments will not be posted. PLEASE KEEP DISCUSSION ON TOPIC.

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.