Friday, June 12, 2015

ThreeHundredEight.com on hiatus until June 29

In order to take some time off for a much-needed vacation and to re-charge the batteries for the final sprint towards Election Day in October, I will not be posting any new articles or projection updates to ThreeHundredEight.com or writing for or appearing on the CBC for the next two weeks.

I will be very infrequently checking Twitter and moderating comments here, but I will otherwise be incommunicado. 

But it isn't all bad news! In fact, shortly after I get back to work I will have something very, very cool to show all of you. I'm really excited about it, and I think you will all love it.

In the meantime, there is plenty right here on 308 to keep you busy. Here are a few of my favourite pieces I've written over the last few months that you might have missed:

Introducing the 2015 federal election projection model. Goes over how the model did in 2011 and what changes have been made since then. Probably a good thing to read as we head into the final stretch.

- The Federal Election of 2003 that never was. Paul Martin vs. Stephen Harper vs. Peter MacKay. Go! (Also Jack Layton and, of course, Gilles Duceppe)

- Without Wildrose or a divided right, the Alberta NDP would have still won. A somewhat controversial post. Really, it is about how the NDP's win was not the product of a divided right, and not an alternate history in which I neglected to consider the possibility of Zombie Lougheed winning it all.

- Are conservative parties under-estimated in the polls? Spoiler alert: they are, but not as much as you might think.

The quest for official party status. Suddenly more relevant with the return of Duceppe. Looks at the Greens, too.

- Redemption for the pollsters, revolution for Albertans. My relieved look-back at Alberta's election results.




You can also take a look at the archive of my weekly columns for the CBC here, and my monthly columns for The Hill Times here (paywalled, but nothing's free in this world, except this site).

I'm sure I'll have a lot to catch-up on when I get back to work, so if any of you see a poll you think I should know about please do tweet me or email me. It will help!

See you in a few weeks!