Tuesday, May 12, 2009

New Poll: Strategic Counsel

A new poll was released today by Strategic Counsel, taken between May 6 and May 10 and including 1,004 interviews. However, the details are not available from Strategic Counsel yet and the only information to be found is at the CTV and Globe and Mail websites. The information is virtually complete, I am just missing the NDP and Green results in Ontario. Until I have them, I won't be updating the projection. Nevertheless, here are the results:


Liberals - 35%
Conservatives - 30%
New Democrats - 16%
Greens - 11%
Bloc Quebecois - 9%

This is a good result for the Liberals, but within the margin we've seen recently. This is a bad result for the Conservatives, but also within recent trends. This is a good result for the NDP, as they have recently been on the up-swing and it is good for them to be moving farther away from the 14% or lower range. The Green result is also very good. Strong results from them is a bit of a recent trend.


Bloc Quebecois - 39%
Liberals - 37%
Conservatives - 9%
New Democrats - 9%
Greens - 8%

Within the range of what we've seen lately: strong Liberal result, Conservatives out of the picture.


Liberals - 42%
Conservatives - 32%

One of the wider gaps between the two parties that we've seen since the beginning of April.


Conservatives - 42%
Liberals - 25%
New Democrats - 19%
Greens - 15%

Of course, "the West" is not included in the projection model. So, the best I can do for context is compare it to the last SC poll. In the West, that puts the Conservatives down four points, the Liberals up one, the Greens up four and the NDP unchanged.

Hopefully I will have the necessary information to update the projection before the end of the day. Check back later!