Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Rae goes looking for missing Liberal voters

Interim Liberal Leader Bob Rae is on a cross-country tour in a quest to rebuild the party.

Considering the disastrous results of the last election, it could be a long trip.

Since the 2004 federal election under Paul Martin, the Liberal Party has lost about 2.2 million votes - despite the fact that nearly 1.2 million more Canadians cast a ballot this past May than they did seven years ago.

You can read the rest of the article on The Huffington Post Canada website here.

The piece had been written before yesterday's momentous news, otherwise I might have chosen a different topic. It was a very sad thing when Jack Layton first emerged for his press conference, as the transformation from the last time we saw him has been extreme. There were rumours concerning what the announcement was about, but it became obvious as soon as he appeared.

He seems confident that he will be back for the September return to Parliament, and let's all hope that this is not just the confidence of someone putting on a brave face. Best wishes to Mr. Layton and his family - if he is as dogged in fighting the cancer as he has been a politician, then he has every chance of recovery.

Barring any unforeseen circumstances, I will be presenting the new Manitoba projection model tomorrow.


  1. I don't think we can take Jack's confidence at face value.

    Yes, Jack could well be confident of a September return, but if he weren't I wouldn't expect him to say so. If, for example, Jack expected never to return, I would expect him to give his supporters time to get used to that idea.

    I have no idea whether Jack will return. I don't even know if Jack expects to return. But either way, I think he's handling this well.

    And if he doesn't return, I will miss him. I really like Jack Layton.

  2. I don't like to speculate on this kind of thing, but I imagine if the chances of him returning in September were slim he would have been more vague about his return.

  3. Eric having seen him on TV last night the possibility of his return, at least in September is IMO very remote.

    Given the state we saw last night he may come back indeed but we're looking at minimum I think a year and possibly longer.

    That said I'm hoping I'm wrong as we need him to head his party !!

  4. Jack is a very dedicated politician, but I do start to doubt of his September return since he looked quite frail and his voice sounded weak in the recent announcement (he looked better when he was battling prostate cancer). Of course everybody hopes he gets better, but what if he doesn't?

    What would be the NDP do without "Jack"? Voters in Québec, for example, voted for the NDP only because of Jack, so where will they mark their ballot in 2015 if Jack is no longer at the helm of the NDP? It seems as though the Québecois are running out of electoral options, as they just broke up with the BQ and they hate the Grits and the Harper Tories (Perhaps Bob Rae might convince lost voters to come back or they might just stick with the NDP without Jack).


  5. Harper is going to win three majorities !

    If Jack doesn't get better then the next election will see Bob Rae winning back seats for the Liberals and the NDP falling behind under a rookie leader. Divided opposition means a second Harper majority.

    Then in the 3rd election we'd have an NDP party vowing to make a comeback and form government facing off against a newly resurgent Liberal party. Even more divided opposition means a third Harper majority !

    End the cycle. Time to MERGE or formally announce a COALITION.

    Do it or Harper is PM for 3 maybe even 4 majority terms !

  6. Harper has already been Prime Minister for 5 years. Do you really think he wants to do it for 20?


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