Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Today's Polls - 11/19

Three polls today, one from Léger Marketing and Le Devoir and two riding polls done in the Mauricie region. As the information I have does not list the polling results for the PVQ and QS in these two ridings, I have distributed the non-PLQ/PQ/ADQ vote to the PVQ and QS according to the current Rest-of-Quebec projection.

We have a seat projection change, with the PLQ moving from 60 to 61 seats and the PQ from 52 to 51. We also have some popular vote changes:

PLQ +0.60
PQ +0.01
QS -0.08
OTH -0.08
ADQ -0.13
PVQ -0.31

The high/low in projected seat possibilities has also changed:

PLQ = 40 to 72 seats (+1)
PQ = 39 to 65 seats (=)
ADQ = 1 to 27 seats (=)

There are also no changes in the individual riding projections, though a few races are becoming closer between the PLQ and the PQ. The two Mauricie ridings are projected to be lost by the ADQ, which will be a tough hit to take considering that Sébastien Proulx of Trois-Rivières is #3 in the party after Mario Dumont and Gilles Taillon (who may also lose his seat).

No comments:

Post a Comment

COMMENT MODERATION POLICY - Please be respectful when commenting. If choosing to remain anonymous, please sign your comment with some sort of pseudonym to avoid confusion. Please do not use any derogatory terms for fellow commenters, parties, or politicians. Inflammatory and overly partisan comments will not be posted. PLEASE KEEP DISCUSSION ON TOPIC.

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.