Thursday, July 30, 2009

New Angus-Reid Poll: 1% Liberal Lead

Two polls were released this morning by Angus-Reid Strategies and EKOS. The AR poll appeared in the Toronto Star this morning, but the details are not available on the AR website as of yet.

I've emailed AR to find out if more details will be forthcoming today.

The Angus-Reid poll included 1,012 interviews, but the Star article doesn't mention the dates of the poll. Here is the result:

Liberals - 34%
Conservatives - 33%
New Democrats - 16%
Bloc Quebecois - 10%
Greens - 7%

The Liberals have not been in front for a little while now, and especially not in AR polls. So this is a significant result for them. Until we see the regional breakdown, it is difficult to make any other conclusions, but double-digits is always good for the Bloc. But the 7% for the Greens is bad.

I will try to wait for the AR regional results before updating the projection.