Thursday, July 2, 2009

New EKOS Poll: 1.2% Liberal Lead

EKOS released a new poll today, taken between June 25 and June 29 and involving 2,262 interviews. The national results:

Liberals - 32.2%
Conservatives - 31.0%
New Democrats - 16.2%
Greens - 11.5%
Bloc Quebecois - 9.0%

This poll will be added to the projection, along with the Nanos and Léger polls earlier in the week, sometime today. So check back for the update.

The Liberals have re-gained the lead in the EKOS polling, nudging ahead of the Tories once again. Nevertheless, the results for the two parties are very weak. The 16.2% for the NDP is not a bad result for them.

The Conservatives hold the lead in British Columbia (33.9%), Alberta (58.2%), the Prairies (44.4%), among 25-44 year olds, people with college educations, in Vancouver, and in Calgary. The Liberals lead in Ontario (38.4%), Atlantic Canada (43.1%), among males, females, those aged under 25, those between 45-64, those over 65 years old, those with high school educations, those with university educations, in Toronto, and in Ottawa.

The NDP had good results in the Prairies (25.1%) and Atlantic Canada (24.1%), where they placed second. The Bloc leads in Montreal and in Quebec (36.2%) as a whole.

This poll would result in the following seat totals:

Liberals - 125
Conservatives - 106
Bloc Quebecois - 50
New Democrats - 26
Greens - 1

The Liberal minority is formed on the strength of Ontario (58 seats), Quebec (19 seats), and Atlantic Canada (23 seats).

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