Wednesday, December 1, 2010

Why Charest should be thankful he’s not facing Duceppe

The loss of a riding held by the provincial Liberals since 1985 in Monday night’s by-election is only the latest indication of Quebec Premier Jean Charest’s troubles. Released over the weekend, a poll conducted by Crop shows his Grits are on track for their worst electoral showing in over a half-century.

The rest of the article can be read on The Globe and Mail website.

I couldn't believe the results when I put Duceppe's numbers into the model. It isn't that the PQ with Duceppe would be at 49% that does it - the party has been at that level of support before. It's that they would face a seriously divided opposition.

It is, though, idle speculation. Unless something catastrophic happens, both Duceppe and Marois will lead their respective parties into the next federal and provincial election campaigns.