Thursday, September 24, 2009

Nanos Leadership Poll

A quick post about a Nanos leadership poll released today. It was taken between September 3 and September 11, so it is a little out of date.

Canadians were asked which leader was best suited to manage...


Stephen Harper - 41%
Michael Ignatieff - 27%
Jack Layton - 10%


Stephen Harper - 22%
Jack Layton - 21%
Elizabeth May - 18%
Michael Ignatieff - 17%

National Unity

Stephen Harper - 30%
Michael Ignatieff - 28%
Jack Layton - 15%


Stephen Harper - 40%
Michael Ignatieff - 24%
Jack Layton - 12%

Health Care

Stephen Harper - 29%
Michael Ignatieff - 22%
Jack Layton - 22%

These kinds of polls are difficult to figure out, though. Aside from the economy, which we can assume everyone wants to do better, the motivation behind people's choices are unknown. If you're not concerned with the state of the environment, your choice of who is best suited to manage it is motivated by different reasons than an environmentalist. If you want Quebec to leave the country (whether you're a Quebecer or not) or if you're upset with Canada's centralisation, that skews how you choose who is best to manage national unity. If you want taxes to go down, go up, or stay the same, that also influences who you would choose. And if you want privatised healthcare or not makes a difference as well.

So take these kinds of polls with a grain of salt.


  1. The number for Iggy on the Economy versus Harper is downright surprising. It would indicate to me in a very big way that voters don't want to change political leadership now in this poor economy.

    The opposition should be in a much better position to convince Canadians that Harper/Flaherty aren't managing the Canadian economy well. Yet somehow by a sizable margin Canadians aren't comfortable with Iggy/McCallum.

    If you can't sell Canadians on the need for change when the economy is bad, its going to be that much tougher to sell them on change when economic indicators are positive.

  2. What surprises me is that Mr. Harper won the poll in the managing environment section. I do not understand that. We can clearly see he doesn't give a rats ass about the environment and yet people think he is capable of managing a campaign to preserve our environment? Where is this world going? Anyways, thanks for the polls, interesting stuff!

    Take care, Ella

  3. That's just the thing. There are a lot of Canadians who are against environmentalism, and so they might be more likely to say that Harper is the best person to handle the environment. The people profiting from the oil sands in Alberta, for example, don't want Layton or May as Environment Minister.


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