Friday, September 4, 2009

New Leger Poll: 5% Bloc Lead

Léger Marketing has released a new poll, taken between August 31 and September 2 and involving 1,005 Quebecers. The result:

Bloc Quebecois - 35%
Liberals - 30%
Conservatives - 16%
New Democrats - 16%

The Greens weren't mentioned in the Le Devoir article, but there are only 3-points left so we can assume that was their result.

This is in line with what we've seen from EKOS and Angus-Reid this week - the Bloc has a small lead, and the other three parties have decent results (for them).

The poll was also broken down into francophone support, which decides about 3/4 of the seats in Quebec. The Bloc has a very comfortable lead at 42%, signifying they will continue to win many seats in the province outside of Montreal. The Liberals were second at 26%, relatively low. The New Democrats were at 15% and the Conservatives at 14% - which bodes very bad for Conservative fortunes in the Quebec City, Beauce, and Saguenay regions.

The poll also asked which federal leader respondents had most confidence in. Gilles Duceppe is the favourite at 32%, followed by Jack Layton at 23%, Michael Ignatieff at 14%, and Stephen Harper at 12%. Layton, and by extension the NDP, have much room for growth in the province. Harper and Ignatieff, on the other hand, don't seem to help their parties much.

My apologies for my absence today, I was away all day.