Tuesday, September 8, 2009

New Nanos Poll: 4.1% Conservative Lead

Thanks to Far and Wide for finding this poll on Reuters. The poll was taken between August 28 and September 3, and involved 1,003 Canadians. Nanos will release it in full tomorrow, but for now we have the following national results:

Conservatives - 37.5%
Liberals - 33.4%
New Democrats - 14.8%
Bloc Quebecois - 9.7%
Greens - 4.6%

Strong result for the Conservatives, but also the Liberals. And with the NDP so low, the Liberals will be able to get a good number of seats with that 33.4%. Tory minority, no doubt, but with a strong Liberal opposition. The Bloc's 9.7% is relatively high, we'll have to wait and see what the regionals are. The 4.6% for the Greens is low, perhaps the result of the margin of error.

The NDP's polling results have been mostly bad of late. Now, an election can change everything and Jack Layton is a good campaigner, but you have to believe that if someone is going to side with the government in order to avoid an election, it will be the NDP. The Bloc has been positioning itself lately for an election and Gilles Duceppe himself has said he thinks it is inevitable.

Check back tomorrow for more details on the poll.